SAP SE
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-63.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-39.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-5.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $46.75 | -72.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $173.13 | 1.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $740.32 | 332.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $76.67 | -55.2% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $103.54 | -39.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $149.36 | -12.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $48.23 | -71.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, SAP appears overvalued at the current price of $171.01. The base case fair value of $103.54 implies 39.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.