Starbucks Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-75.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-68.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-57.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-26.74 | -125.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $24.75 | -76.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $29.21 | -71.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $47.19 | -54.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $47.83 | -53.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $36.84 | -64.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, SBUX appears overvalued at the current price of $103.65. The base case fair value of $33.03 implies 68.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.