Super Micro Computer, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-35.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-30.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
27.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-0.99 | -103.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $48.04 | 54.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $45.64 | 46.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $21.25 | -31.9% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $22.40 | -28.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $19.97 | -36.0% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, SMCI appears fairly valued at the current price of $31.20. The base case fair value of $21.82 implies 30.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.