Smith-Midland Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-57.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-39.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-14.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $1.50 | -94.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $25.86 | -7.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $18.34 | -34.5% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $37.96 | 35.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $15.71 | -43.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $10.82 | -61.4% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, SMID appears overvalued at the current price of $28.01. The base case fair value of $17.03 implies 39.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.