Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) Fair Value 2026 — DCF & Multi-Method Analysis | EvidInvest | EvidInvest

SPCX — Fair Value Analysis

Space Exploration Technologies Corp.

Current: $113.50Overvalued

Fair Value Range

Bear Case (25th pct.)

$-32.38

-128.5% vs price

Base Case (Median)

$-16.70

-114.7% vs price

Bull Case (75th pct.)

$-1.02

-100.9% vs price

$-32.38$-16.70$-1.02

◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull

Method Breakdown

Method	Est. Value	vs Price	Weight
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)	$-48.06	-142.3%	High (40%)
EV/EBITDA	$14.66	-87.1%	Medium (20%)

Interpretation

Based on 2 out of 8 methods, SPCX appears overvalued at the current price of $113.50. The base case fair value of $-16.70 implies 114.7% downside.

Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.