Seagate Technology Holdings plc
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-85.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-74.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-68.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $174.31 | -78.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $267.96 | -67.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $256.87 | -68.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $98.35 | -88.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $248.40 | -69.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $32.02 | -96.1% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, STX appears overvalued at the current price of $816.99. The base case fair value of $211.35 implies 74.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.