Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from SEC filings.
Smurfit Westrock plc
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-70.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-61.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-48.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $15.89 | -65.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $17.69 | -61.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $19.92 | -56.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $27.20 | -40.0% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $55.27 | 21.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $11.02 | -75.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $4.37 | -90.4% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, SW appears overvalued at the current price of $45.36. The base case fair value of $17.69 implies 61.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.