The Toronto-Dominion Bank
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-56.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-7.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
19.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-101.10 | -184.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $102.45 | -14.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $214.09 | 78.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $119.12 | -0.4% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, TD appears fairly valued at the current price of $119.65. The base case fair value of $110.79 implies 7.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.