Triumph Group, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-69.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-60.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-21.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $24.13 | -7.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $10.16 | -60.9% | Medium (25%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $20.49 | -21.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $4.86 | -81.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $7.95 | -69.4% | High (70%) |
Based on 5 out of 8 methods, TGI appears overvalued at the current price of $26.01. The base case fair value of $10.16 implies 60.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.