Thales S.A.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-51.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-22.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
7.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $19.90 | -64.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $59.79 | 7.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $59.35 | 7.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $23.22 | -58.1% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $30.91 | -44.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $86.27 | 55.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $42.87 | -22.7% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, THLLY appears fairly valued at the current price of $55.47. The base case fair value of $42.87 implies 22.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.