Texas Instruments Incorporated
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-79.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-67.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-53.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $34.19 | -87.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $167.28 | -40.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $144.18 | -48.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $51.48 | -81.6% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $90.78 | -67.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $117.82 | -57.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $63.33 | -77.3% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, TXN appears overvalued at the current price of $279.41. The base case fair value of $90.78 implies 67.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.