United Airlines Holdings, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-10.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
32.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
86.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-84.88 | -172.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $208.91 | 77.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $262.72 | 123.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $106.02 | -9.8% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $230.49 | 96.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $155.54 | 32.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $104.88 | -10.8% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, UAL appears fairly valued at the current price of $117.52. The base case fair value of $155.54 implies 32.4% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.