UBS Group AG
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-25.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-17.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
100.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $283.77 | 440.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $32.42 | -38.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $45.90 | -12.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $41.36 | -21.3% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, UBS appears fairly valued at the current price of $52.54. The base case fair value of $43.63 implies 17.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.