High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Fair Value Range
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$3.72
-13.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$5.70
32.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$9.31
116.5% vs price
$3.72$5.70$9.31
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
Method Breakdown
Method
Est. Value
vs Price
Weight
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
$5.70
32.5%
High (40%)
EV/EBITDA
$1.75
-59.3%
Medium (20%)
EV/FCF
$12.93
200.6%
Medium (20%)
Interpretation
Based on 3 out of 8 methods, UEIC appears fairly valued at the current price of $4.30. The base case fair value of $5.70 implies 32.6% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
