High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Fair Value Range
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$2.81
-56.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$3.18
-51.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$6.11
-6.1% vs price
$2.81$3.18$6.11
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
Method Breakdown
Method
Est. Value
vs Price
Weight
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
$3.18
-51.1%
High (40%)
EV/EBITDA
$9.05
39.0%
Medium (20%)
EV/FCF
$2.44
-62.5%
Medium (20%)
Interpretation
Based on 3 out of 8 methods, ULBI appears overvalued at the current price of $6.51. The base case fair value of $3.18 implies 51.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
