Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund Admiral Shares
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-116.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-96.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-96.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-66.80 | -137.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $7.11 | -96.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $7.15 | -96.0% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 3 out of 8 methods, VTSAX appears overvalued at the current price of $180.22. The base case fair value of $7.11 implies 96.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.