Western Digital Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-86.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-83.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-60.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $81.60 | -83.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $434.23 | -12.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $221.74 | -55.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $76.69 | -84.6% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $55.13 | -88.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $167.44 | -66.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $4.71 | -99.1% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, WDC appears overvalued at the current price of $497.92. The base case fair value of $81.60 implies 83.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.