ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
413.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
539.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
776.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $38.26 | 67.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $221.34 | 866.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $128.51 | 460.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $146.41 | 539.1% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $180.12 | 686.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $106.68 | 365.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $386.06 | 1585.1% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, ZTO appears undervalued at the current price of $22.91. The base case fair value of $146.41 implies 539.1% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.