Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) Fair Value 2026 — DCF & Multi-Method Analysis | EvidInvest | EvidInvest

ALK — Fair Value Analysis

Alaska Air Group, Inc.

Current: $47.50Fairly Valued

Fair Value Range

Bear Case (25th pct.)

$-63.01

-232.7% vs price

Base Case (Median)

$-5.47

-111.5% vs price

Bull Case (75th pct.)

$53.26

12.1% vs price

$-63.01$-5.47$53.26

◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull

Method Breakdown

Method	Est. Value	vs Price	Weight
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)	$-120.55	-353.8%	High (40%)
EV/EBITDA	$112.00	135.8%	Medium (20%)
Earnings Power Value	$-5.47	-111.5%	High (70%)

Interpretation

Based on 3 out of 8 methods, ALK appears fairly valued at the current price of $47.50. The base case fair value of $-5.47 implies 111.5% downside.

Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.