High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Fair Value Range
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$134.46
13.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$240.77
102.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$347.07
191.9% vs price
$134.46$240.77$347.07
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
Method Breakdown
Method
Est. Value
vs Price
Weight
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
$28.15
-76.3%
High (40%)
Earnings Power Value
$453.38
281.3%
Medium (50%)
Interpretation
Based on 2 out of 8 methods, BABA appears undervalued at the current price of $118.90. The base case fair value of $240.77 implies 102.5% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
