Fair value · Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (GOOS) · updated 2026-10-23 · from 40-F FY2026
Canada Goose Holdings trades at $8.33. That price implies a P/E of 52.8×, 8.6% yearly EPS growth for a decade, 6.8× EV/EBITDA and a 9.4% free-cash-flow yield.
Cboe · delayed 15 min · as of 20:04 ET
Statements filed in CAD, converted to USD at the 2026-03-31 period-end rate (1.3935 CAD per USD; ECB reference rates).
Are those assumptions reasonable? Use GOOS’s filed growth history and the AI chat to decide, then set your own inputs below — the range you build is yours.
What the price implies
- P/E
- 52.8×
- EPS growth
- 8.6%
- EV/EBITDA
- 6.8×
- FCF yield
- 9.4%
price ÷ trailing EPS
per year for 10 years, discounted at 10%
(market cap + net debt) ÷ EBITDA
free cash flow ÷ enterprise value (10.6× EV/FCF)
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings. This price: Cboe · delayed 15 min · as of 20:04 ET.
With preset inputs the methods land at $2.46 – $13 (presets are filed history and our reference settings, not a recommendation)
How each method got its number
Bear, base and bull are the 25th, 50th and 75th percentile of the methods that produced a usable estimate. Weights say how much a method is trusted for this sector; they do not change the range.
| Method | Estimate | vs price | Weight | Why this method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Earnings Power Value Medium weight Greenwald’s Earnings Power Value: what current earnings are worth if they never grow. Everything above it is what you pay for growth. | $1.43 | -83% | Medium weight | Greenwald’s Earnings Power Value: what current earnings are worth if they never grow. Everything above it is what you pay for growth. |
Growth-trajectory DCF Medium weight A two-stage DCF that grows earnings at the company’s own EPS trend, then fades to the industry’s long-run rate. Two-stage DCF using weighted EPS CAGR and industry median terminal rate | $1.93 | -77% | Medium weight | A two-stage DCF that grows earnings at the company’s own EPS trend, then fades to the industry’s long-run rate. |
P/E vs sector Medium weight Trailing diluted EPS times the sector median P/E. What the stock would be worth if the market priced it like an average peer. | $2.98 | -64% | Medium weight | Trailing diluted EPS times the sector median P/E. What the stock would be worth if the market priced it like an average peer. |
Graham Number Medium weight Benjamin Graham’s 1949 rule of thumb: √(22.5 × EPS × book value). It punishes asset-light companies, so it reads low for big tech. | $4.00 | -52% | Medium weight | Benjamin Graham’s 1949 rule of thumb: √(22.5 × EPS × book value). It punishes asset-light companies, so it reads low for big tech. |
DCF High weight Projects free cash flow for the coming years and discounts it back to today. The most complete method, and the most sensitive to the growth and discount-rate assumptions. | $12 | +43% | High weight | Projects free cash flow for the coming years and discounts it back to today. The most complete method, and the most sensitive to the growth and discount-rate assumptions. |
EV/EBITDA Medium weight Values the whole business at 10× EBITDA and divides by the share count. A mid-cycle industrial multiple; fast growers trade far above it. | $14 | +63% | Medium weight | Values the whole business at 10× EBITDA and divides by the share count. A mid-cycle industrial multiple; fast growers trade far above it. |
EV/FCF Medium weight 20× free cash flow per share, i.e. a 5% cash yield. Reads low for companies the market expects to keep growing. Based on latest annual FCF (quarterly TTM unavailable) | $18 | +118% | Medium weight | 20× free cash flow per share, i.e. a 5% cash yield. Reads low for companies the market expects to keep growing. |
P/B vs sector Medium weight Sector median price-to-book times book value per share. Works for banks and asset-heavy businesses, says little about software. P/B comparable is optional for non-financial companies | No estimate | Medium weight | Sector median price-to-book times book value per share. Works for banks and asset-heavy businesses, says little about software. | |
What this means
- A range of $2.46 to $13 means the methods disagree by more than 2×. They measure different things — cash the business earns today versus growth the market expects tomorrow — so treat the range as a rough guide, not a target.
- The base case, $4.00, is the median of the 7 methods with data. It assumes Canada Goose Holdings’s current margins, cash generation and share count persist; it does not price in a new product cycle, a recession or a buyback surge.
- The number moves when the filings move: the next quarterly statement replaces the oldest quarter in the trailing-twelve-month EPS and cash-flow inputs. The price changes every day; the fair value only changes with the filings.
The filing behind these numbers
Canada Goose Holdings Inc.- Revenue
- CAD 1.5B
- Diluted EPS
- CAD 0.22
- Free cash flow
- CAD 141.8M
- operating cash flow − capital expenditure
- Diluted shares
- 99.0M
- weighted average
40-F FY2026 · fiscal year ended 2026-03-31 · filed 2026-05-15
Open the 40-F list on sec.govCIK 1690511