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Fair value · INTEL CORP (INTC) · updated 2026-09-10 · from 10-K FY2025

INTEL trades at $101.27. That price implies 38.3× EV/EBITDA and a 0.5% free-cash-flow yield.

Cboe · delayed 15 min · as of 17:43 ET

Are those assumptions reasonable? Use INTC’s filed growth history and the AI chat to decide, then set your own inputs below — the range you build is yours.

What the price implies

EV/EBITDA
38.3×

(market cap + net debt) ÷ EBITDA

FCF yield
0.5%

free cash flow ÷ enterprise value (194× EV/FCF)

Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings. This price: Cboe · delayed 15 min · as of 17:43 ET.

With preset inputs the methods land at $9.02$18 (presets are filed history and our reference settings, not a recommendation)

Price $101.27
Bear $9.02Base $13Bull $18

How each method got its number

Bear, base and bull are the 25th, 50th and 75th percentile of the methods that produced a usable estimate. Weights say how much a method is trusted for this sector; they do not change the range.

MethodEstimatevs price
EV/FCF
Medium weight

20× free cash flow per share, i.e. a 5% cash yield. Reads low for companies the market expects to keep growing.

$4.76-95%
EV/EBITDA
Medium weight

Values the whole business at 10× EBITDA and divides by the share count. A mid-cycle industrial multiple; fast growers trade far above it.

$22-78%
DCF
High weight

Projects free cash flow for the coming years and discounts it back to today. The most complete method, and the most sensitive to the growth and discount-rate assumptions.

estimate at or below $0, or more than 4× away from the price

Not meaningful for this company
P/E vs sector
Medium weight

Trailing diluted EPS times the sector median P/E. What the stock would be worth if the market priced it like an average peer.

Negative or unavailable EPS

No estimate
Growth-trajectory DCF
Medium weight

A two-stage DCF that grows earnings at the company’s own EPS trend, then fades to the industry’s long-run rate.

No trajectory data available

No estimate
P/B vs sector
Low weight

Sector median price-to-book times book value per share. Works for banks and asset-heavy businesses, says little about software.

P/B comparable is optional for non-financial companies

No estimate
Graham Number
Low weight

Benjamin Graham’s 1949 rule of thumb: √(22.5 × EPS × book value). It punishes asset-light companies, so it reads low for big tech.

Requires positive EPS

No estimate
Earnings Power Value
Medium weight

Greenwald’s Earnings Power Value: what current earnings are worth if they never grow. Everything above it is what you pay for growth.

Negative operating earnings

No estimate

What this means

  • A range of $9.02 to $18 means the methods disagree by about 94%. They measure different things — cash the business earns today versus growth the market expects tomorrow — so treat the range as a rough guide, not a target.
  • The base case, $13, is the median of the 2 methods with data. It assumes INTEL’s current margins, cash generation and share count persist; it does not price in a new product cycle, a recession or a buyback surge.
  • The number moves when the filings move. The next 10-Q replaces the oldest quarter in the trailing-twelve-month EPS and cash-flow inputs; the last one (Q2 FY2026) was filed 2026-07-24. The price changes every day; the fair value only changes with the filings.

The filing behind these numbers

INTEL CORP
Revenue
$52.9B
Diluted EPS
$-0.06
Free cash flow
$-4.9B
operating cash flow − capital expenditure
Diluted shares
4.53B
weighted average

10-K FY2025 · fiscal year ended 2025-12-27 · filed 2026-01-23 · accession 0000050863-26-000011

Trailing-twelve-month EPS also uses the quarterly 10-Qs through Q2 FY2026 (filed 2026-07-24).

Open this filing on sec.gov
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