Lumentum Holdings Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-97.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-95.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-91.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $20.98 | -97.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $135.40 | -84.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $44.70 | -95.0% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $15.48 | -98.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $79.36 | -91.1% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 5 out of 8 methods, LITE appears overvalued at the current price of $889.59. The base case fair value of $44.70 implies 95.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.