High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Fair Value Range
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$26.50
-38.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$41.24
-4.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$55.26
28.1% vs price
$26.50$41.24$55.26
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
Method Breakdown
Method
Est. Value
vs Price
Weight
PE Comparable
$28.34
-34.3%
Medium (25%)
Graham Number
$54.15
25.6%
Medium (40%)
EV/EBITDA
$58.57
35.8%
Medium (20%)
Earnings Power Value
$20.99
-51.3%
Medium (50%)
Interpretation
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, NC appears fairly valued at the current price of $43.13. The base case fair value of $41.24 implies 4.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
