PDD Holdings Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
742.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
1138.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
1625.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $249.14 | 193.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $1226.25 | 1345.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $661.12 | 679.2% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $876.04 | 932.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $1543.45 | 1719.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $1722.28 | 1929.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, PDD appears undervalued at the current price of $84.85. The base case fair value of $1051.14 implies 1138.8% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.