Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING CO LTD
High uncertainty: The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-79.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-66.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-45.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $81.84 | -80.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $273.51 | -34.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $519.66 | 24.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $88.27 | -78.9% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $185.17 | -55.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $139.53 | -66.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $72.12 | -82.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 7 methods, TSM appears overvalued at the current price of $418.51. The base case fair value of $139.53 implies 66.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.