High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Fair Value Range
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$1.31
-57.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$1.90
-38.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$2.85
-7.2% vs price
$1.31$1.90$2.85
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
Method Breakdown
Method
Est. Value
vs Price
Weight
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
$0.17
-94.5%
High (40%)
EV/EBITDA
$1.69
-45.0%
Medium (20%)
EV/FCF
$5.09
65.8%
Medium (20%)
Earnings Power Value
$2.11
-31.3%
Medium (50%)
Interpretation
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, VTSI appears overvalued at the current price of $3.07. The base case fair value of $1.90 implies 38.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
