The headline is AMD’s $11.2B guide. The filing is a 160M-share warrant at $0.01 — Aug 4 data-center wave (AMD, ANET, WDC, GFS, SMCI)
Here is the gap between the headline and the filing going into Tuesday, August 4: the tape will grade AMD against its ~$11.2B revenue guide, while the document that actually re-prices the Meta relationship — an 8-K granting Meta a performance warrant for up to 160 million AMD shares at $0.01 each — barely made the headlines. If you trade AMD, Arista, Western Digital, or GlobalFoundries into this cluster, the bars are already on EDGAR. Emerson and Amtech share the calendar; Super Micro dropped a July 21 preliminary update (full call August 11); Eaton and Corning just reported — confirmed stack context, not tomorrow’s mystery.
This is research, not investment advice. If you want a price target, wrong page. Figures from SEC Exhibit 99.1 / 8-K / 10-Q / 6-K filings.
Who prints when (this wave)
| Ticker | Status | Last filed checkpoint |
|---|---|---|
| AMD | Aug 4 | Q1 FY2026 Ex 99.1 (May 5) — set ~$11.2B Q2 guide |
| ANET | Aug 4 | Q1 Ex 99.1 (May 5) — guided ~$2.8B Q2 |
| WDC | Aug 4 | Q3 FY26 Ex 99.1 (Apr 30) — guided Q4 ~$3.65B |
| GFS | ~Aug 4 window | Q1 6-K (May 5) — guided Q2 ~$1.76B |
| EMR | Aug 4 | FY Q2 Ex 99.1 (May 5) |
| ASYS | Aug 4 | Prior Ex 99.1 (May 7) |
| SMCI | Prelims Jul 21; call Aug 11 | FQ4 prelim business update |
| ETN | Already Jul 31 | Q2 record sales + DC power M&A |
| GLW | Already Jul 28 | Optical Comms +32%; Enterprise +65% |
| SWKS / QRVO | Already Jul 28 | Mobile RF — same week, different thesis |
AMD — Data Center is the company now
Q1 FY2026 Exhibit 99.1 (accession 0000002488-26-000072, May 5):
| Line | Amount |
|---|---|
| Revenue | $10.3B (+38% YoY) |
| GAAP gross margin | 53% |
| GAAP operating income | $1.5B |
| Diluted EPS | $0.84 |
| Data Center | $5.8B (+57%) |
| Client + Gaming | $3.6B (+23%) |
| Embedded | $873M (+6%) |
| Q2 revenue guide | ~$11.2B ± $300M (~+46% YoY, ~+9% QoQ) |
| Q2 non-GAAP GM guide | ~56% |
Lisa Su: Data Center is “the primary driver of our revenue and earnings growth,” with inferencing / agentic AI lifting CPUs and accelerators.
The Meta warrant most headlines skipped
An 8-K Item 1.01 (accession 0000002488-26-000045; detail also in the Q1 10-Q,
0000002488-26-000076) discloses a performance warrant granting Meta the right
to buy up to 160 million AMD shares at $0.01 per share. Vesting starts with
Meta’s first 1 GW of Instinct purchase commitments; full vesting requires
6 GW, with stock-price hurdles escalating to $600 per share for the
final tranche. Exercisable through February 23, 2031 — and none had
vested as of March 28, 2026. The structural read: Meta demand is real but
milestone-gated, and the dilution arrives only if the gigawatts do. OpenAI sits
alongside as the second hyperscaler anchor — a multiyear agreement for up to
6 GW of Instinct (per the DEF 14A / 10-K).
Aug 4 scorecard: (1) revenue vs the $11.2B mid-point, (2) Data Center still near +50% territory, (3) Instinct vs EPYC mix, (4) GM path toward mid-50s non-GAAP, (5) any Meta / OpenAI gigawatt-commitment progress on the call — that is what moves the warrant math.
Arista — AI networking at 35% growth
Q1 Exhibit 99.1 (accession 0001596532-26-000074, May 5):
| Line | Amount |
|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.709B (+35.1% YoY) |
| Operating cash flow | $1.69B |
| Non-GAAP diluted EPS | $0.87 |
| GAAP / non-GAAP op. margin | 42.7% / higher on non-GAAP |
| Q2 guide | Rev ~$2.8B; non-GAAP op. margin 46–47%; non-GAAP EPS ~$0.88 |
Deferred revenue sat near $4.9B current + $1.3B non-current. The product tell is the XPO MSA: the release claims it can “reduce networking racks by up to 75% and save up to 44% of floor space” versus pluggable optics — the density claim Tuesday should extend or qualify.
Aug 4 scorecard: guide vs Street; AI/cloud vs campus mix; deferred revenue conversion; margin hold in the mid-40s non-GAAP; XPO MSA traction.
Western Digital — storage cycle with 50%+ margins
Q3 FY2026 (quarter ended April 3) Exhibit 99.1 (accession 0001628280-26-028878,
Apr 30):
| Line | Amount |
|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.34B (+45% YoY) |
| GAAP / non-GAAP gross margin | 50.2% / 50.5% |
| Non-GAAP diluted EPS | $2.72 |
| Free cash flow | $978M |
| Q4 guide | Rev $3.65B ± $100M; non-GAAP GM 51–52%; non-GAAP EPS $3.25 ± $0.15 |
The margin trajectory is the story: GAAP gross margin stepped from 45.7% in fiscal Q2 to 50.2% in Q3 — volume and pricing power in one line. Grade Tuesday against the Q4 guide, and against whether that GM step-up compounds or was the peak.
GlobalFoundries — specialty foundry into the same racks
Q1 2026 6-K Exhibit (accession 0001709048-26-000111, May 5):
| Line | Amount |
|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.634B |
| GAAP / non-IFRS gross margin | 27.6% / 29.0% |
| Non-IFRS diluted EPS | $0.40 |
| Non-IFRS adjusted EBITDA | $561M |
| Q2 guide (mid) | Net revenue $1,760 ± $25M; non-IFRS GM ~28.5% ± 100 bps |
CEO Tim Breen said results were at or above the high end of prior guidance. CPO / detachable fiber interface work shows up in the technology narrative — relevant next to Corning’s optical print.
Super Micro — prelim already on the tape (call Aug 11)
July 21 Exhibit 99.1 preliminary update (accession 0001375365-26-000019):
| Prelims (FQ4 FY2026 ended Jun 30) | Amount |
|---|---|
| Revenue | Near low end of prior $11.0–12.5B guide |
| GAAP & non-GAAP gross margin | 15–17% vs prior guide 8.2–8.4% (mix) |
| New orders in the quarter | >$60B |
| Full results webcast | Aug 11, 5pm ET |
Read the fine print before the number: the same release cautions that some of these orders may not represent firm commitments and may be cancellable. Do not treat Tuesday as SMCI day. Do treat the >$60B claim — and how much of it is firm — as the debate the Aug 11 call must settle.
Emerson — automation check into the same Tuesday
FY Q2 (ended Mar 31) Exhibit 99.1 (May 5): Intelligent Devices and Control Systems held low-single-digit growth; company guided Q3 net sales ~5.5% (underlying ~5%) and EPS $1.22–$1.27, with FY2026 net sales ~4.5% (underlying ~3%) and EPS $4.79–$4.89. Capital return frame: ~$2.2B (repurchases + dividends). Tuesday is whether underlying growth holds as process/automation demand digests the AI capex cycle.
Just-reported stack context (not tomorrow’s print)
Eaton (Jul 31): Q2 sales $8.5B (+21%; +14% organic); Electrical Americas orders +41% on a twelve-month rolling average. The M&A stack is now sized: Boyd Thermal (data-center thermal) closed March 12, 2026 for $9.55B net of cash, and Fibrebond (modular power enclosures) around $1.43–1.45B — roughly $11B aimed at the data-center power-and-cooling layer. Adj. EPS guide raised to $13.40–$13.60.
Corning (Jul 28, accession 0000024741-26-000253): Optical Communications
sales $2.07B (+32%); Enterprise Networks +65% with Gen AI products
“growing significantly faster.” Two anchor deals in the release: a multiyear,
multibillion-dollar optical agreement with Amazon, and an NVIDIA
partnership under which Corning expands US optical connectivity manufacturing
10x and US fiber production by more than 50%. Q3 guide: core sales
$4.9–5.0B (+16%), core EPS $0.85–0.89 (+28%).
Skyworks / Qorvo (Jul 28): mobile RF fiscal prints — same calendar week, different end-market. Useful only as “not every semi is a data-center semi.”
Amtech: small wafer/front-end equipment name on the Aug 4 list — grade vs the May 7 Exhibit 99.1 run-rate, not vs AMD.
One scoreboard for Tuesday
- AMD — clear the ~$11.2B guide, and listen for gigawatt-commitment progress that starts vesting the Meta warrant.
- ANET — hold mid-40s non-GAAP margins while AI networking scales; extend the 75%-fewer-racks XPO claim into orders.
- WDC — prove the 45.7%→50.2% GM step-up was a trend, not a peak.
- GFS — specialty foundry growth without blowing the margin guide.
- EMR — underlying growth still in the mid-single digits.
- Read ETN/GLW as confirmed demand in power and fiber — Boyd at $9.55B and Corning’s Amazon/NVIDIA agreements are the stack voting with capital.
Headlines move prices; filings size the exposure. Live multiples: AMD · ANET · WDC · GFS · SMCI · EMR · ASYS · ETN · GLW.
Primary sources
AMD Q1 Ex 99.1:
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2488/000000248826000072/q12026991.htm
(0000002488-26-000072).
AMD 8-K Item 1.01 (Meta warrant):
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2488/000000248826000045/
(0000002488-26-000045); warrant detail also in the Q1 10-Q
(0000002488-26-000076).
ANET Q1 Ex 99.1:
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1596532/000159653226000074/ex991q126-earningsrelease.htm
(0001596532-26-000074).
WDC Q3 FY26 Ex 99.1:
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/106040/000162828026028878/a4ex991-pressreleaseq326.htm
(0001628280-26-028878).
GFS Q1 6-K Ex:
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1709048/000170904826000111/globalfoundries1q2026earni.htm
(0001709048-26-000111).
SMCI FQ4 prelim:
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1375365/000137536526000019/fq42026businessupdate.htm
(0001375365-26-000019).
GLW Q2 press release:
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/24741/000002474126000253/
(0000024741-26-000253).
EMR / ETN Exhibit 99.1 releases as cited above (May 5 / Jul 31).
First step: before Tuesday’s open, spend five minutes in AMD’s 8-K Item
1.01 (0000002488-26-000045) and read the warrant vesting schedule — then
you’ll know exactly what any “Meta expansion” headline is worth.
Research, not investment advice.
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