What is Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS)'s fair-value range?

As of 2026-10-22, Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) trades at $156.82 — Cboe · delayed 15 min · as of 18:04 ET. Whether those assumptions are reasonable is your call: every method on the page shows the number today's price implies for its key input — the P/E, the growth rate, the multiple — and you set your own, from a 1, 3, 5 or 10-year filed CAGR or a rate of your choosing. With EvidInvest's preset inputs the 4 methods land at $0.04–$1.06; presets are filed history and reference settings, not a recommendation. Not investment advice.

How is Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS)'s fair value calculated?

Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS)'s fair value is computed with several independent methods — a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, the Graham number, earnings power value (EPV), and valuation multiples such as PE and EV/EBITDA — using data from SEC filings. P/B is optional for non-financial companies and included in the preset range for financial sectors.

What is Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS)'s PE ratio versus its industry?

EvidInvest shows Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS)'s current and historical PE ratio alongside its sector and industry averages, so you can see whether the stock trades at a premium or discount to peers. Full breakdown at https://evidinvest.com/valuation/NBIS.

Fair value · Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) · updated 2026-10-22 · from annual report FY2025

Nebius Group trades at $156.82. Its filings do not yet carry the positive earnings and cash flow these methods read a price back into.

Cboe · delayed 15 min · as of 18:04 ET

Statements filed in RUB, converted to USD at the 2025-12-31 period-end rate (79.496 RUB per USD; ECB reference rates).

Are those assumptions reasonable? Use NBIS’s filed growth history and the AI chat to decide, then set your own inputs below — the range you build is yours.

With preset inputs the methods land at $0.04 – $1.06 (presets are filed history and our reference settings, not a recommendation)

Price $156.82

Bear $0.04Base $0.25Bull $1.06

Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings. This price: Cboe · delayed 15 min · as of 18:04 ET.

Set your own assumptions ↓See how each method got its number Check another stock

How each method got its number

Bear, base and bull are the 25th, 50th and 75th percentile of the methods that produced a usable estimate. Weights say how much a method is trusted for this sector; they do not change the range.

Method	Estimate	vs price	Weight	Why this method
P/E vs sector Medium weight Trailing diluted EPS times the sector median P/E. What the stock would be worth if the market priced it like an average peer.	$0.01	-100%	Medium weight	Trailing diluted EPS times the sector median P/E. What the stock would be worth if the market priced it like an average peer.
Graham Number Low weight Benjamin Graham’s 1949 rule of thumb: √(22.5 × EPS × book value). It punishes asset-light companies, so it reads low for big tech.	$0.05	-100%	Low weight	Benjamin Graham’s 1949 rule of thumb: √(22.5 × EPS × book value). It punishes asset-light companies, so it reads low for big tech.
EV/EBITDA Medium weight Values the whole business at 10× EBITDA and divides by the share count. A mid-cycle industrial multiple; fast growers trade far above it.	$0.45	-100%	Medium weight	Values the whole business at 10× EBITDA and divides by the share count. A mid-cycle industrial multiple; fast growers trade far above it.
Earnings Power Value Medium weight Greenwald’s Earnings Power Value: what current earnings are worth if they never grow. Everything above it is what you pay for growth. Using normalized EBIT (3-year average)	$2.90	-98%	Medium weight	Greenwald’s Earnings Power Value: what current earnings are worth if they never grow. Everything above it is what you pay for growth.
DCF High weight Projects free cash flow for the coming years and discounts it back to today. The most complete method, and the most sensitive to the growth and discount-rate assumptions. estimate at or below $0, or more than 4× away from the price	Not meaningful for this company		High weight	Projects free cash flow for the coming years and discounts it back to today. The most complete method, and the most sensitive to the growth and discount-rate assumptions.
Growth-trajectory DCF Medium weight A two-stage DCF that grows earnings at the company’s own EPS trend, then fades to the industry’s long-run rate. No trajectory data available	No estimate		Medium weight	A two-stage DCF that grows earnings at the company’s own EPS trend, then fades to the industry’s long-run rate.
P/B vs sector Low weight Sector median price-to-book times book value per share. Works for banks and asset-heavy businesses, says little about software. P/B comparable is optional for non-financial companies	No estimate		Low weight	Sector median price-to-book times book value per share. Works for banks and asset-heavy businesses, says little about software.
EV/FCF Medium weight 20× free cash flow per share, i.e. a 5% cash yield. Reads low for companies the market expects to keep growing. Negative FCF — common for growth companies; ratio not meaningful	No estimate		Medium weight	20× free cash flow per share, i.e. a 5% cash yield. Reads low for companies the market expects to keep growing.

What this means

A range of $0.04 to $1.06 means the methods disagree by more than 2×. They measure different things — cash the business earns today versus growth the market expects tomorrow — so treat the range as a rough guide, not a target.
The base case, $0.25, is the median of the 4 methods with data. It assumes Nebius Group’s current margins, cash generation and share count persist; it does not price in a new product cycle, a recession or a buyback surge.
The number moves when the filings move: the next quarterly statement replaces the oldest quarter in the trailing-twelve-month EPS and cash-flow inputs. The price changes every day; the fair value only changes with the filings.

The filing behind these numbers

Nebius Group N.V.

Revenue: RUB 529.8M
Diluted EPS: RUB 0.04
Free cash flow: RUB -3.7B; operating cash flow − capital expenditure
Diluted shares: 247.7M; weighted average

annual report FY2025 · fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · filed 2026-04-30 · accession 0001104659-26-052948

Open this filing on sec.gov

Valuation tool: build your own NBIS range

Fair Value Summary

Daily Price — NBIS

$171.57 +64.5% (1Y)

Range implied by today’s price4 of 7 methods

$0.04 – $40

Price $156.82

Bear $0.04Base $0.25Bull $40

Range with preset inputs

$0.04 – $1.06

Price $156.82

Bear $0.04Base $0.25Bull $1.06

Every method that could be solved backwards opens on the assumption today’s price makes, so the top range sits on the price — that is arithmetic, not a view. Change any input and it becomes yours.

We don’t tell you what NBIS is worth. Every tab OPENS on what today’s price implies for that method’s key assumption; you decide whether that assumption is reasonable — the growth matrix has NBIS’s filed history and the AI chat will reason it through with you — and the range you build is yours. Our presets are filed history and reference settings, never a recommendation.

Discounted cash flow

N/A

Starting free cash flow is not positive; the model has nothing to grow.

Preset inputs — revenue-driven DCF from the latest filing

• Starting free cash flow is not positive; the model has nothing to grow.

Implied by today’s price

Starting free cash flow is not positive; the model has nothing to grow, so no growth rate reaches the price.

Not solvable from the price — Starting free cash flow is not positive; the model has nothing to grow, so no growth rate reaches the price. Showing preset inputs.

This method has no key input to read out of the price. The others below do, and you set them yourself: the growth matrix shows what NBIS has actually filed, and the AI chat will reason it through with you.

Your inputs

Free cash flow grows at your stage-1 rate, then your stage-2 rate, then a terminal rate; everything is discounted at your WACC.

Stage-1 growth5.0%

Yearly free-cash-flow growth for the first stage. Starts below zero so a shrinking-cash-flow case — and the rate today’s price implies — can be set.

-20.0%60.0%

Stage-1 years5 yrs

How long stage-1 growth lasts.

1 yrs10 yrs

Stage-2 growth2.5%

Slower growth after stage 1, before the terminal phase.

-20.0%30.0%

Stage-2 years5 yrs

0 yrs10 yrs

Terminal growth2.5%

Growth forever after the two stages. Above ~3% is rarely justified.

0.0%5.0%

Discount rate (WACC)14.24%

The return you require. Default is the WACC EvidInvest computed for this company. Higher discount rate, lower value.

3.00%15.00%

Net debt ($M)Debt minus cash, from the balance sheet. Subtracted from enterprise value.

Starting FCF ($M)Latest free cash flow from the filing (operating cash flow minus capex).

Shares (M)Diluted shares, from the filing.

Year by year (two-stage model, $M)

PV explicit $-23,215M · PV terminal $-12,258M · EV $-35,473M · equity $-35,427M

Year	Stage	FCF	Present value
1	Stage 1	$-3,865M	$-3,383M
2	Stage 1	$-4,058M	$-3,110M
3	Stage 1	$-4,261M	$-2,858M
4	Stage 1	$-4,474M	$-2,627M
5	Stage 1	$-4,698M	$-2,414M
6	Stage 2	$-4,815M	$-2,166M
7	Stage 2	$-4,936M	$-1,944M
8	Stage 2	$-5,059M	$-1,744M
9	Stage 2	$-5,186M	$-1,565M
10	Stage 2	$-5,315M	$-1,404M

Inputs from the filing

Statements filed in RUB, converted to USD at the 2025-12-31 period-end rate (79.496 RUB per USD; ECB reference rates).

Free cash flow: $-3.7B; latest full year
EBIT: $1.1M; latest annual
Shares: 242.5M
Total debt: $308191
Cash: $46.3M
Net debt: $-46.0M; debt − cash

annual report FY2025 · period ended 2025-12-31 · filed 2026-04-30 · accession 0001104659-26-052948 · sec.gov

Prefer a blank slate with reverse DCF? Open the standalone DCF / reverse DCF for NBIS

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Download the full NBIS valuation report (PDF) — free

DCF fair value, Graham number, EPV, key multiples and growth rates in one clean PDF.

Options positioning

Full options view: walls, IV term structure, smile →

0.94

Put/Call (OI)

call-heavy

0.53

Put/Call (volume)

93%

ATM IV ~30d

$300

Call wall

58k OI

$150

Put wall

43k OI

As of previous close (2026-10-21) · OPRA historical data · walls = largest open-interest strikes above/below spot · market-wide positioning

Nebius Group trades at $156.82. Its filings do not yet carry the positive earnings and cash flow these methods read a price back into.

How each method got its number

What this means

The filing behind these numbers

Valuation tool: build your own NBIS range

Daily Price — NBIS

Range implied by today’s price4 of 7 methods

Range with preset inputs

Your inputs

Year by year (two-stage model, $M)

Options positioning

More on NBIS

Compare with peers

Explore

Valuation tool: build your own NBIS range

Daily Price — NBIS

Range implied by today’s price4 of 7 methods

Range with preset inputs

Your inputs

Year by year (two-stage model, $M)

Options positioning

More on NBIS

Compare with peers

Explore