Fair value · TRIMBLE INC. (TRMB) · updated 2026-10-03 · from 10-K FY2026
TRIMBLE trades at $57.52. That price implies 18.8× EV/EBITDA and a 5.3% free-cash-flow yield.
Cboe · delayed 15 min · as of 09:21 ET
Are those assumptions reasonable? Use TRMB’s filed growth history and the AI chat to decide, then set your own inputs below — the range you build is yours.
What the price implies
- EV/EBITDA
- 18.8×
- FCF yield
- 5.3%
(market cap + net debt) ÷ EBITDA
free cash flow ÷ enterprise value (19.0× EV/FCF)
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings. This price: Cboe · delayed 15 min · as of 09:21 ET.
With preset inputs the methods land at $25 – $37 (presets are filed history and our reference settings, not a recommendation)
How each method got its number
Bear, base and bull are the 25th, 50th and 75th percentile of the methods that produced a usable estimate. Weights say how much a method is trusted for this sector; they do not change the range.
| Method | Estimate | vs price | Weight | Why this method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Earnings Power Value Medium weight Greenwald’s Earnings Power Value: what current earnings are worth if they never grow. Everything above it is what you pay for growth. | $14 | -76% | Medium weight | Greenwald’s Earnings Power Value: what current earnings are worth if they never grow. Everything above it is what you pay for growth. |
EV/EBITDA Medium weight Values the whole business at 10× EBITDA and divides by the share count. A mid-cycle industrial multiple; fast growers trade far above it. | $28 | -51% | Medium weight | Values the whole business at 10× EBITDA and divides by the share count. A mid-cycle industrial multiple; fast growers trade far above it. |
DCF High weight Projects free cash flow for the coming years and discounts it back to today. The most complete method, and the most sensitive to the growth and discount-rate assumptions. | $29 | -50% | High weight | Projects free cash flow for the coming years and discounts it back to today. The most complete method, and the most sensitive to the growth and discount-rate assumptions. |
EV/FCF Medium weight 20× free cash flow per share, i.e. a 5% cash yield. Reads low for companies the market expects to keep growing. | $61 | +6% | Medium weight | 20× free cash flow per share, i.e. a 5% cash yield. Reads low for companies the market expects to keep growing. |
P/E vs sector Medium weight Trailing diluted EPS times the sector median P/E. What the stock would be worth if the market priced it like an average peer. Negative or unavailable EPS | No estimate | Medium weight | Trailing diluted EPS times the sector median P/E. What the stock would be worth if the market priced it like an average peer. | |
Growth-trajectory DCF Medium weight A two-stage DCF that grows earnings at the company’s own EPS trend, then fades to the industry’s long-run rate. No trajectory data available | No estimate | Medium weight | A two-stage DCF that grows earnings at the company’s own EPS trend, then fades to the industry’s long-run rate. | |
P/B vs sector Low weight Sector median price-to-book times book value per share. Works for banks and asset-heavy businesses, says little about software. P/B comparable is optional for non-financial companies | No estimate | Low weight | Sector median price-to-book times book value per share. Works for banks and asset-heavy businesses, says little about software. | |
Graham Number Low weight Benjamin Graham’s 1949 rule of thumb: √(22.5 × EPS × book value). It punishes asset-light companies, so it reads low for big tech. Requires positive EPS | No estimate | Low weight | Benjamin Graham’s 1949 rule of thumb: √(22.5 × EPS × book value). It punishes asset-light companies, so it reads low for big tech. | |
What this means
- The methods differ by about 49%, from $25 to $37. That is normal: cash-flow methods and peer multiples see different things. Use the range, not a single number.
- The base case, $28, is the median of the 4 methods with data. It assumes TRIMBLE’s current margins, cash generation and share count persist; it does not price in a new product cycle, a recession or a buyback surge.
- The number moves when the filings move. The next 10-Q replaces the oldest quarter in the trailing-twelve-month EPS and cash-flow inputs; the last one (Q2 FY2027) was filed 2026-08-12. The price changes every day; the fair value only changes with the filings.
The filing behind these numbers
TRIMBLE INC.- Revenue
- $3.6B
- Diluted EPS
- $1.76
- Free cash flow
- $360.9M
- operating cash flow − capital expenditure
- Diluted shares
- 241.5M
- weighted average
10-K FY2026 · fiscal year ended 2026-01-02 · filed 2026-02-25 · accession 0000864749-26-000015
Trailing-twelve-month EPS also uses the quarterly 10-Qs through Q2 FY2027 (filed 2026-08-12).
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The valuation data behind this page — DCF fair value, margin of safety, PE vs industry, analyst estimates — is also available programmatically through the EvidInvest MCP server & financial data API for Claude, Cursor, or any MCP client and HTTP pipeline.